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Demand Forecast Accuracy Benchmark

Understand your error metric before comparing forecasts.

TL;DR: MAPE and WAPE measure error differently. This calculator explains a percentage you supply and shows its 100-minus-error value. It does not assign an industry rank: we do not have a representative comparison dataset for your metric, category and horizon.

Compare your numbers

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MetricCalculationLimit to check
MAPE100 Γ— mean(|actual βˆ’ forecast| / actual)Undefined when an actual value is zero; unstable near zero.
WAPE100 Γ— sum(|actual βˆ’ forecast|) / sum(actual)Undefined when total actual demand is zero. It can be higher or lower than MAPE.
100 βˆ’ error100 minus your chosen percentage errorA reporting convention, not an industry rank. It can be negative when error exceeds 100%.

Use non-negative demand quantities and compare the same metric, products and forecast horizon. See Forecasting: Principles and Practice for error definitions and percentage-error limitations, or our bias and accuracy guide for a worked example. To see how Forthcast reports it, read forecast accuracy and bias in Forthcast, and how to measure forecast accuracy SKU by SKU. This calculator converts a supplied percentage; it does not validate the underlying orders or forecasts.

Review your Shopify forecasts

Forthcast provides store-wide demand forecasts, reorder alerts and draft purchase orders for merchant review. The Basic Plan is $19.99/month with a standard 14-day trial. Check the forecasts against your own history and buying decisions.

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